Portfolio risk Lab 03

Margin Cascade

Does an initial asset shock trigger margin calls, forced sales, price impact, and secondary fund stress?

Saved example run

Generated using bundled data. These values illustrate the diagnostic and are not current market observations.

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Margin Cascade Report

  • Rounds simulated: 2
  • Total forced liquidation: $7,142
  • Systemic risk score: 41.35/100
  • Most stressed fund: Beacon

Final fund health

Fund Assets Debt Equity Margin Leverage
Atlas $6,838 $0 $6,838 100.0% 1.00x
Beacon $7,031 $5,058 $1,974 28.1% 3.56x
Meridian $11,034 $6,500 $4,534 41.1% 2.43x
Northstar $11,258 $7,800 $3,458 30.7% 3.26x

Final prices

Asset Initial Final Move
ALPHA 100.00 73.53 -26.5%
BETA 58.00 55.12 -5.0%
GAMMA 35.00 32.20 -8.0%
DELTA 25.00 25.00 0.0%

Liquidation tape

Round Fund Asset Sale value Impact
1 Beacon ALPHA $4,585 5.73%
1 Beacon BETA $2,557 4.97%

The paper trail

Inspect. Reproduce. Extend.

Run this command from the finance-labs repository root to reproduce the bundled example.

Exact command
PYTHONPATH=labs/margin-cascade/src python3 -m margin_cascade_lab --book labs/margin-cascade/examples/sample_book.csv --shock ALPHA=-0.22 --shock GAMMA=-0.08 --format markdown

View original captured output
# Margin Cascade Report

- Rounds simulated: **2**
- Total forced liquidation: **$7,142**
- Systemic risk score: **41.35/100**
- Most stressed fund: **Beacon**

## Final fund health

| Fund | Assets | Debt | Equity | Margin | Leverage |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| Atlas | $6,838 | $0 | $6,838 | 100.0% | 1.00x |
| Beacon | $7,031 | $5,058 | $1,974 | 28.1% | 3.56x |
| Meridian | $11,034 | $6,500 | $4,534 | 41.1% | 2.43x |
| Northstar | $11,258 | $7,800 | $3,458 | 30.7% | 3.26x |

## Final prices

| Asset | Initial | Final | Move |
|---|---:|---:|---:|
| ALPHA | 100.00 | 73.53 | -26.5% |
| BETA | 58.00 | 55.12 | -5.0% |
| GAMMA | 35.00 | 32.20 | -8.0% |
| DELTA | 25.00 | 25.00 | 0.0% |

## Liquidation tape

| Round | Fund | Asset | Sale value | Impact |
|---:|---|---|---:|---:|
| 1 | Beacon | ALPHA | $4,585 | 5.73% |
| 1 | Beacon | BETA | $2,557 | 4.97% |

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