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Bond Auction Tail

Does a Treasury auction's tail, bid-to-cover, indirect participation, and dealer takedown indicate demand stress?

Exact commandRepository root
PYTHONPATH=labs/bond-auction-tail/src python3 -m bond_auction_tail_monitor labs/bond-auction-tail/examples/sample_auctions.csv --latest-only
Real outputExit code 0

Bond Auction Tail Monitor Report

Date Tenor Tail bp Bid/Cover Indirect % Dealer % Score Regime Drivers
2026-04-10 10Y 3.50 2.05 54.0 32.0 100 strained large positive tail, soft bid-to-cover, weak indirect demand, elevated dealer takedown
2026-04-05 5Y 0.20 2.47 66.0 16.0 10 orderly near-normal auction versus tenor history
2026-04-15 30Y -0.50 2.55 70.0 13.0 0 orderly firm bid-to-cover, strong indirect demand